Engineering Risk in Natural Resources Management with Special References to Hydrosystems under Changes of Physical or Climatic Environment

About this book

Special References to Hydrosystems Under Changes of Physical or Climatic Environment Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Study Institute on 'Engineering Risk and Reliability in a Changing Phys ical Environment, New Developments in Resources Management with Applications to Non-Stead y Conditions', Deauville, France, May 24--June 4, 1993

Contents

Part 1 System Framework: Systems engineering of natural resources under changing physical conditions - a framework for reliability and risk; L. Duckstein, E. Parent. Systems engineering of natural resources under changing physical conditions - State of the art in systems modelling; E. Parent, L. Duckstein. Design and control of water systems under unsteady conditions; R. Soncini-Sessa. Institutional analysis and water resources management; M. Waterstone. Part 2 The Changing Input Function: Numerical models for the simulation of natural and anthropogenic climate variations; J.C. Andre. Estimation of local climatic factors under climate change; I.Bogardi, I. Matyasovszky, A. Bardossy, L. Duckstein. Synenergistic effect of dam and forecast on flood probabilities: a Bayesian analysis; K.S. Kelly, R. Krzysztofowicz. Part 3 Stochastic Analysis under Non-stationary Conditions: Some reliability measures for non-stationary Markov chains; I. Abi-Zeid, B. Bobee. Statistical detection of changes in geophysical series; J. Bernier. Risk analysis of hydrologic data - review and new developments concerning the Halphen distributions; B. Bobee, P. Rasmussen, L. Perreault, F. Ashkar. Part 4 Regional Consequences of Climatic Change: Estimation of extreme regional precipitation under climate change; A. Bardossy. Detection and modelling of the impact of climatic change on river flows; G. Cavadias. Sea-level rise problems; T. Pohlmann, J. Suendermann. Climatic changes during the 20th century on the Laurentian Great Lakes and their impacts on hydrologic regime; M. Slivitzky, L. Mathier. Sediment yield and pollution from small watersheds under changing climatic conditions; I. Bofgardi, J. Ganoulis, L. Duckstein, I. Matyasovszky. Water quality in coastal zones under variable climatic conditions; J. Ganoulis, L. Duckstein, I. Bogardi, I. Matyasovszky. Report of Panel 1: Global change, a statistical myth? B. Bobee, G. Cavadias (rapporteurs). Part 5 Engineering Decisions under Uncertainty and Risk: Inference and decision under near ignorance conditions; W.F. Caselton, W. Luo. Design and control of water systems in presence of inflow scenarios; R. Soncini-Sessa, A. Karbowski. Risk of extreme flood losses under uncertain physical conditions; J.H. Lambert, D. Li, Y.Y. Haimes. Sea-level rise: A probabilistic design problem; J.K. Vrijling. Quantitative analysis of uncertainties in water resources - application for predicting the effects of changes; J. Bernier. Strategic decisions under non-stationary conditions: a stopping-control paradigm; R. Krzysztofowicz. Report of Panel 2: When and how should we act? M. Waterstone (rapporteur). Part 6 Policy and Case Studies. (Part contents).

Customer Reviews