Books  Physical Sciences  Mathematics 

The Theory of Probability

Series: Oxford Classic Texts in the Physical Sciences

By: Harold Jeffreys

480 pages, 2 line figs

Oxford University Press

Paperback | Aug 1998 | Edition: 2 | #83387 | ISBN: 0198503687
Availability: Usually dispatched within 2-3 weeks Details
NHBS Price: £45.00 $58/€49 approx

About this book

Published in 1939, this book was the first to develop a fundamental theory of scientific inference based on the ideas of Bayesian statistics. Recent advances in computer power and availability have brought Bayesian statistics into the limelight and make this book a must for all serious statisticians.
`Its selection as an Oxford Classic Text is unusual but well judged: unusual, for the book has had no impact on how most scientists do statistics, and prescient because Bayesian methods are now gaining wider acceptance - at least among more mathematically competent researchers. Those who don't have to rush to the bathroom when they see an integral sign can hardly fail to benefit from reading this book.' Robert Matthews in New Scientist

Though mathematically very demanding, the principles and examples are clear enough, and Jeffreys' trenchant references to critics of Bayesian methods often made me laugh out loud - an unusual experience with an advanced statistics text. Its selection as an Oxford Classic Text is unusual but well judged. Robert Matthews, New Scientist


1. Fundamental notions; 2. Direct probabilities; 3. Estimation problems; 4. Approximate methods and simplifications; 5. Significance tests: one new parameter; 6. Significance tests: various complications; 7. Frequency definitions and direct methods; 8. General questions

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