How aggressive will water-hungry China become in order to secure a sufficient supply of it? What will happen when climate-triggered conflicts like the one in Sudan spread throughout the continent? As India takes its proper place at the high table of nations and begins the large-scale importing of food, what will happen to already dwindling global storehouses?
Combining cutting-edge climate research and interviews with geopolitical strategists and military planners, Cleo Paskal identifies problem areas that are most likely to start wars, destroy economies and create failed states. She examines the most likely environmental change scenarios and extrapolates ways in which they could radically alter human existence.
'Cleo Paskal is original and compelling; a pioneering scholar of the new terrain where climate change confronts national security, she charts the dramatic implications not just for the game of nations but for their geographic borders, their resources and their fundamental interests.'- Martin Walker, senior director of the Global Business Policy Council and Editor-in-Chief Emeritus of United Press International. 'Cleo Paskal's mastery over geopolitics has been fused to a remarkable understanding of just how the coming geophysical changes may affect our planet. This is the fist comprehensive view of the real consequences of environmental change.'- M D Nalapat, UNESCO Peace Chair and director of the Department of Geopolitics, Manipal University, India
Introduction PART I: THE USS SIEVE The Coming Storm PART II: THE NEW GEOPOLITICAL ICEBERGS Life On The No Longer Permanent Permafrost The Global Economy: Waiting for the Ship to Come in A Short History of Modern Geopolitics, As Seen From the Deck Of A Ship The Great Cold Rush of '08 PART III: PRECIPITATING CHANGE IN ASIA AND BEYOND Today's Weather The Story So Far Interesting Times, Narrowing Options PART IV: WATER Building a Geopolitical Ark Drawing Lines in the Water Fighting Over Atlantis PART V: YOUR POINT IS? Conclusion
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CLEO PASKAL is an associate fellow in the Energy, Environment and Resource Governance at the Chatham House/Royal Institute of International Affairs, UK.