Transition to a Sustainable Society A Backcasting Approach to Modelling Energy and Ecology

About this book

In this compelling book, a backcasting approach based on energy flows is used to evaluate the physical constraints on sustainable development.

Contents

Part Introduction: general introduction - sustainability, potential for / constraints on sustainable development, the energy problem, (energy) models - general, energy forecast models, backcasting models, scope of this book. Part 2 Transition modelling framework: introduction to the transition models - general outline, world energy use and human activity, energy constraints on the final sustainable situation; the basic model - energy demand, energy supply, constraints, sample calculations, sensitivity analysis; extension with the primary energy-supply-system - introduction, the energy requirement for energy, sample calculations, sensitivity analysis; extension with the materials supply system - introduction, total demand for materials, energy use per unit of material, sample calculations; evaluation of the model structures and future options - general further development. Part 3 Discussion: conclusion and comparison to other studies - general conclusions from the sample calculations, comparison to other studies; reflection - general, initiatives for transition, economy and environment, epilogue.

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