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About this book
About this book
The climate in Bangladesh is changing and becoming more unpredictable. As a low-lying delta, Bangladesh is particularly vulnerable to climate change and it is estimated that by 2050 some 70 million people of the population could be affected by floods and 8 million by drought, while coastal districts will become inundated by rising sea levels.
The objective of this book is to examine the implications of climate change on food security in Bangladesh and to identify adaptation measures in the agriculture sector.
1. Introduction 2. Vulnerability to Climate Risks 3. Future Climate Scenarios 4. Future Flood Hydrology 5. Future Crop Performance 6. Economy-Wide Impacts of Climate Risks 7. Adaptation Options in the Agriculture Sector 8. The Way Forward - Turning Ideas to Action Annexes: Annex 1 - Using DSSAT to Model Adaptation Impacts Annex 2 - A Simple Economy-Wide CGE Model Annex 3 - Constructing the Social Accounting Matrix for Bangladesh Index
Winston H Yu is a Water Resources Specialist at the World Bank in the South Asia Region. Mozaharul Alam is at the Bangladesh Center for Advanced Studies; Ahmadul Hassan is at the Center for Environmental and Geographic Information Services; and Abu Saleh Khan is at the Institute for Water Modeling, Dhaka, Bangladesh. Alex Ruane, Cynthia Rosenzweig and David Major are based at Columbia University, New York, USA. James Thurlow is at the International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington DC, USA.
256 pages, col plates, maps, figs, tabs
'Bangladesh is projected as one of the countries to be most seriously affected by climate change. This study considers a range of climate risks and applies agroecological and economic models to assess the impact of climate change on the agricultural sector and the economy. A very useful book for agricultural researchers, development partners and policy makers.' Mahabub Hossain, Executive Director, BRAC, Dhaka, Bangladesh '[This book presents] a clever integration of hydrologic, climatological, and economic models. Certainly one of the best attempts to assess quantitatively the effects of potential climate change on agricultural development in complex settings.' Peter P. Rogers, Gordon McKay Professor of Environmental Engineering and Professor of City and Regional Planning, Harvard University 'The authors successfully draw together much of the current understanding of the situation in Bangladesh, enabling them to develop a framework for understanding and predicting changes in food security as a result of climate change.' Institution of Environmental Sciences