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About this book
Earthquakes are among the most destructive natural catastrophes, due largely to their unpredictability. Many lives could be saved if reliable, practical prediction techniques could be developed. While plate tectonics provide fundamental insight, proposals for practical prediction techniques are controversial. Using rigorous statistical techniques, this study analyzes the most promising approaches.
Contents
THE SPIRAL OF PRACTICE. The Earthquake Hut. A Blundering Oracle. Trial by Water. Scars and Healing: The Power of Seismic Gaps. The Best-Laid Plans. Earthquake Hazard. THE SPIRAL OF THEORY. Disaster Theory. Theory of Strong Motion on Soft Ground. Science in Ashes: A Theory of Coincidence. Conclusion. Appendices. References. Index.
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