The volume is based on a policy simulation model linking sixty countries and regions at a detailed industrial level, covering 99.5 per cent of the world's economic activities. Country models are linked by trade matrices that explicitly describe annual trade flow among world regions. Energy demand and supply is explained in response to changing prices reflecting emission trading and other market-oriented policy instruments. The impact on global environment is gauged through CO2 emission. Simulation results to 2010 with an explicit description of economy-energy-environment feedback under different scenarios serve as an open platform for policy debate. Comparisons with results from other research works are provided, together with methodological comparisons. An annotated bibliography is also included.
Preface. Part I: Introduction. 1. Economy-Energy-Environment, the COMPASS Approach Kimio Uno. Part II: The Framework of Analysis. 2. Object-Oriented Database and Modeling System; D. Vanwynsberghe, (F. Hooman). 3. Macro-IO-Trade Model Specification; B. Meyer, C. Lutz. 4. Endogenous Trade Shares in a Global Model; B. Meyer, C. Lutz. 5. Developing an Energy Balance Simulation Model; Y. Umehara. Part III: Economy-Energy-Environment, 2010. 6. Policy Agenda; Y. Umehara. 7. Price Induced Energy Intensity and Inter-Energy Sugstitution of G7 Countries; Y. Umehara. 8. The Case of South-East Asia; D. Vanwynsberghe, et al. 9. The Case of China; Y. Wang, Z. Li. 10. The Case of Russia; A. Koltzov, V. Volkov. 11. CO2 Tax and Its Impact; B. Meyer, C. Lutz. Part IV: The Art of Projection. 12. Global Projections: Methdological Comparisons; K. Uno. Appendix A: A Very Long-Term View of the Global Community; D. Vanwynsberghe. References. List of Contributors. Disclaimer. Index.