United States
£ GBP
Earth overshoot will end either by design or by disaster. Which future should we choose?
Earth is in overshoot. The cumulative impact of 8 billion humans combined with the relentless pursuit of economic growth in the name of "progress" has stressed the planet beyond its limits. We must act now.
Surveying economic alternatives and charting plausible paths forward for a planned economic contraction, Escape from Overshoot covers a wide terrain, including:
- An overview of Earth overshoot and prevailing trends and implications for humans and biodiversity
- A concise review of economic ideas including neoclassical, Keynesian, Marxist, ecological economics, and steady-state economics with an eye to the current crisis
- An analysis of the limitations and possibilities of alternative scenarios such as green growth, doughnut economics, regenerative economics, degrowth, and more
- Prioritizing intergenerational justice through a contraction and convergence ethical framework
- The results of modelling of Canada's economy under different scenarios and the prospects for managed degrowth across industrialized economics as an escape route from overshoot.
Incorporating over 150 informative diagrams and illustrations, this compelling and provocative work is required reading for students and professionals grappling with specific manifestations of overshoot including climate change, biodiversity loss, food and freshwater shortages. It's also essential for all people concerned about the deteriorating state of societies and the environment and seeking an equitable way out.
Acknowledgments
Foreword
Prologue: A Planet in Peril
Chapter 1. Overshoot - A Look at the Evidence
- Overshoot
- The Economy as a Sub-System of the Planet
- Material Flows
- Forests
- Agriculture
- The Great Acceleration
- Biodiversity
Chapter 2. How to Think About the Future
Chapter 3. Voices from the Past - Economic Growth and its Critics
- From Progress to Economic Growth
- Classical Economics and Economic Growth
- Neoclassical Economics Takes Center Stage
- Critics of Economic Growth
- Environmental Economics
- Ecological Economics
- Conclusion
Chapter 4. The Economic System - How Does it Work?
- The Neoclassical Capitalist Economy
- The Keynesian and Post-Keynesian Capitalist Economy
- The Marxian and Post-Marxian Capitalist Economy
- Conclusion
Chapter 5. Current Trends to an Uncertain Future
- Economic Trends
- Demographic Trends
- Income Inequality Trends
- Investment Trends
- Consumption Trends
- Technology Trends
- Work Trends
- Energy Trends
- Conclusion
Chapter 6. Green Growth - A Dangerous Distraction?
- Defining Green Growth
- Growth of Many Colors
- Does Increased Efficiency Lead to Decoupling?
- Future Prospects for Green Growth
- Stocks not Flows: The Achilles Heel of Green Growth
- Green Investment
- Barriers to Green Growth
- Conclusion
Chapter 7. Post Growth Possibilities
- Steady-State Economy
- Circular Economy
- Wellbeing Economy
- Buen Vivir
- Doughnut Economics
- Regenerative Economy
- Degrowth
- Ecosocialism
- Conclusion
Chapter 8. Modeling an Escape from Overshoot
- The Story So Far
- From Local to Global Overshoot
- Contraction and Convergence
- Reprising the Limits to Growth
- The Plausibility and Possibility of a Planned Contraction of a High-Income Economy
Chapter 9. Planning an Escape from Overshoot
- Fourteen Propositions for Planning an Escape from Overshoot
- Living the Escape from Overshoot
- Reforms on the Path to Escape
- Conclusion
Notes
Index
About the Author
About New Society Publishers
Peter A. Victor is a Professor Emeritus at York University. He was awarded a PhD in economics from the University of British Columbia in 1971 and has worked for 50 years in Canada and abroad as an academic, consultant, and public servant specializing in ecological economics and alternatives to economic growth. Peter sits on the Honorary Board of the David Suzuki Foundation and the Circle of Ecological Economics Elders, is chair of the Science Advisory Committee of the Footprint Data Foundation, and is an elected member of the Royal Society of Canada. He was the recipient of the Molson Prize in the Social Sciences from the Canada Council for the Arts in 2011 and the Boulding Memorial Prize from the International Society for Ecological Economics in 2014. He is the author of six previous books, including Managing without Growth. He lives in Toronto, Ontario.
Uses sound economics to map a path out of overshoot. Highly recommended.
-Herman Daly
An excellent primer on key insights and questions in ecological economics from a celebrated pioneer of the field.
-Jason Hickel, author, Less is More
Peter Victor provides a state-of-the-art overview of the drawings for the economic rocket humanity needs for a safe landing on Spaceship Earth. In our turbulent times, with multiple planetary boundaries breached and tipping points approaching fast, Escape from Overshoot provides the perfect launch pad for new economic thinking that reconnects the world with planet Earth.
-Johan Rockstroem, Professor, Earth System Science; Director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research; and co-author, Earth for All
The title of Peter Victor's important book says it all: the planet is in peril and a major factor is a global economy too big for nature to flourish. Human beings are animals and thus, like all other species, constrained by nature and nature's laws. An economy unfettered by the needs and limits of nature and propelled by a fool's goal of endless growth has created the twin ecological crises of climate change and biodiversity loss. All who care about the kind of world we are leaving to our grandchildren and what we can do to bring the economy into harmony with nature must read this vital book.
-David Suzuki, emeritus professor and grandfather
No one pulls it all together as well as Peter Victor. His Escape from Overshoot covers climate and other key issues with a compelling clarity. I highly recommend this book.
-James Gustave Speth, former Dean, Yale School of the Environment, and author, America the Possible
Victor draws a plausible pathway that nicely intertwines with a growing body of evidence and proposals for new economic models from across the globe. This book is timely and gives cause for hope!
-Sandrine Dixson-Decleve, co-president, the Club of Rome, and co-author, Earth for All
Erudite and lavishly illustrated, Peter Victor's Escape from Overshoot is a sweeping analysis of the flawed economic mindset that has pushed us to the brink and an inspired prescription for the new economics needed to help pull us back.
-William Rees, professor emeritus, University of British Columbia, former director of the School of Community and Regional Planning (SCARP), and co-author, Our Ecological Footprint
I own hundreds of books, all carefully curated. But I reserve one short shelf for books that I think everybody needs to read right away in order to grasp the human condition and what needs to be done. Peter Victor's Escape from Overshoot is now at the front of that shelf. It is clearly and entertainingly written and elicits an aha! on every page. Escape from Overshoot would be a great book on those merits alone, even if it weren't the key to our collective fate.
-Richard Heinberg, Senior Fellow, Post Carbon Institute, and author, Power
An absolute must read- I could not put it down and read it in one sitting. Peter Victor masterfully ties the threads of economic thought together to demonstrate why- and how- we can collectively do our best to avoid climate and ecological breakdown.
-David Miller, managing director, C40 Centre for City Climate Policy and Economy
Escape from Overshoot is a tour de force of the latest research in ecological economics from one of the top researchers in the field. In a highly accessible style, with a helpful figure or illustration on almost every page, Peter Victor explains how the current economic system works, how it has pushed us to the precipice of environmental collapse, and how a post-growth economy could pull us back from the edge.
-Dan O'Neill, Associate Professor in Ecological Economics, University of Leeds, and president, European Society for Ecological Economics
If you want to enable the next generation to build a successful future, ditch the textbooks from the past and get this one instead.
-Mathis Wackernagel, Ph.D., founder and president, Global Footprint Network, and author, Ecological Footprint
