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Environmental Modelling: An Uncertain Future?

By: Keith Beven

310 pages, b/w illustrations

Taylor & Francis

Paperback | Jul 2008 | #175388 | ISBN-13: 9780415457590
Availability: Usually dispatched within 6 days Details
NHBS Price: £39.99 $52/€45 approx
Hardback | Jul 2008 | #175389 | ISBN-13: 9780415463027
Availability: Usually dispatched within 6 days Details
NHBS Price: £150.00 $195/€170 approx

About this book

Environmental Modelling: An Uncertain Future? introduces students, scientists and decision makers to the different concepts and techniques of uncertainty estimation in environmental prediction; the philosophical background to different concepts of uncertainty; the constraint of uncertainties by the collection of observations and data assimilation in real-time forecasting; and techniques for decision making under uncertainty.

This book is relevant to environmental modellers, practitioners and decision makers in hydrology, hydraulics, ecology, meteorology and oceanography, geomorphology, geochemistry, soil science, pollutant transport and climate change.


1. How to Make Predictions
2. A Philosophical Diversion
3. Simulation with No Historical Data Available
4. Simulation with Historical Data Available
5. Forecasting the Near Future
6. Decision Making When Faced with Uncertainty
7. An Uncertain Future?

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Keith Beven is Professor of Hydrology and Fluid Dynamics at Lancaster University. While finishing this book he was at Uppsala University in Sweden as Konung Carl XVI Gustafs Gastprofessor i Miljovetenskap 2006/07.

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