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About this book
About this book
This book is novel in that it shows how to carry out the end-to-end approach to adaptation and management to climate change, explaining assumptions and limitations at every step of the process. It also delves into the area of robust decision-making under conditions of deep uncertainty not only now but also the future, as climate models continue to develop. This book endeavours to see the models for what they are and show how the information contained in them can be used effectively.
The quantitative assessment of the impact of climate change on water availability and water resources management requires knowledge of climate, hydrological/ hydrogeological and water resources models, and particularly the relationships between each of them. This book treats each of the subjects in turn with the water resources modeller in mind, and will culminate in a set of case studies using real-life examples to illustrate the steps required and the problems that can be faced.
This book shows how new modeling techniques can elucidate links between climate, hydrology and water resources. It shows both strengths and limitations of models. It shows how modeling can be used at different special scales.
Contributors. Preface. 1 INTRODUCTION (Fai Fung, Ana Lopez and Mark New). 2 WEATHER AND CLIMATE (Daithi A. Stone and Reto Knutti). 3 REGIONALCLIMATEDOWNSCALING (Robert L. Wilby and Hayley J. Fowler). 4 WATER FOR PEOPLE: CLIMATE CHANGE AND WATER AVAILABILITY (Glenn Watts). 5 EMERGING APPROACHES TO CLIMATE RISK MANAGEMENT (Ana Lopez, Robert L. Wilby, Fai Fung and Mark New). 6 THE CASE STUDIES. 6.1 Introduction. 6.2 Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources in the Quarai River Basin (Rodrigo Paiva, Walter Collischonn and Edith Beatriz Schettini). 6.3 Impact of Climate Change on Hydropower: Ariege, France (Jean-Philippe Vidal and Fre'de' ric Hendrickx). 6.4 ACase Study of Water Resource Management in the South West of England (Ana Lopez). Index. Colour plate section.
Fai Fung is a researcher at the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research and a lecturer on the MSc Water Science, Policy and Management at the School of Geography, University of Oxford. His main expertise is in hydrological modelling with respect to water resources and aquatic ecosystems with a particular focus on the assessment of impacts of climate change. Ana Lopez is a researcher at the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics. Her research focuses on the suitability of climate modelling information to quantify climate change impacts and to inform adaptation decision making. Mark New works on climate change and impacts on water resources in a range of locations, with particular focus on quantification of uncertainty in climate projections for regional and local impacts assessment and adaptation, and on robust approaches to decision-making under uncertainty.
For students, scientists, engineers and decision-makers alike, this book provides an invaluable and critical look at the information that is provided by climate models, and the ways it is used in modelling water systems. A key focus is the exploration of how uncertainties may accrue at each stage of an impacts assessment, and the reliability of the resulting information. The book is a practical guide to understanding the opportunities and pitfalls in the quantitative assessment of climate change impacts and adaptation in the water resource sector. (MyCFO, 16 November 2010)